Fall is in the air and as I write, we have a short 65 days until we fire up the lifts and the bull-wheel starts to turn here @KirkwoodMtn. The anticipation begins to grow, with each passing day I continually read the anecdotal posting of old wives tales, the newest update from the Farmer’s Almanac! Big winter, Low snow, Cold temperatures, Dry as a bone, rent an Ark. All true, all backed by science… Well, I have my own three theories & wanted to clear the decks as I predict the “New Norm=600”
Pure irrefutable science: The Beaver Dam
Data collection site - Washoe Meadow:
While running with my pal / compadre Sakima looking for scientific evidence of the “New Norm” we stopped for a quick breather at the river, Sakima took a perspicuous interest in a quite large -beaver lodge or I should say complex… I quickly noticed it to have quite a few more logs than in the previous weeks & the north side of a beaver’s dam completely covered by sticks. This was obviously a clear-cut “New Norm=600” sign that Kirkwood will have an amazing winter starting on November 22nd.
Pure irrefutable science: The Wollybear worm
Data collection site - Devil’s Corral @KirkwoodMtn:
While looking for scientific data in the heart of Kirkwood “Devils Corral” Sakima & I once again took a perspicuous interest in the narrow orange band in the middle of the Woollybear caterpillar. After a detailed & rigorous inspection of the Wollybear’s orange band we have concluded – The rings are a true warning sign of heavy snow. This was obviously a clear-cut “New Norm=600” sign that Kirkwood will have an amazing winter starting on November 22nd.
Pure irrefutable science: Slopedope post @SFGATE
Data collection site – The S.F Gate online edition:
In an article (SFGATE Scientific Research) by Tom Stienstra, Tom states for the record (and I truly believe him) “Nature’s signs point toward big winter”. From this indisputable evidence, I believe we should all conclude we are in for the “New Norm=600” winter starting here @KirkwoodMtn on November 22nd!
Three indisputable scientific facts! Now I actually did check the Old Farmer’s Almanac, and just as Tom states in his SFGATE piece.
"Winter will be much rainier and cooler than normal, with mountain snowfall much greater than normal, with Most of the rain, snow, and storminess will come in January and February”
For October 2013: temperature 64° (1° below avg.); precipitation 3” (2” above avg. east, 0.3” below west);
Oct 1-4: A.M. clouds and drizzle, P.M. sun coast; sunny inland; cool;
Oct 5-9: Rain, then sunny, cool; Oct 10-15: Scattered showers, then sunny, cool;
Oct 16-20: Sunny, warm; Oct 21-31: Rainy episodes, cool.
Waiting for the first snows of winter, enjoy your Fall!